This system has earned Trades-Own-Strategy (TOS) Certification.
This means that the manager of this system trades his own strategy
in a real-life, funded brokerage account.
Trades-Own-Strategy (TOS) Certification Details
Certification process started
03/27/2020
Most recent certification approved
3/27/20 9:37 ET
Trades at broker
Interactive Brokers (server 2 / Stocks, Option, Futures)
Scaling percentage used
100%
# trading signals issued by system since certification
1,240
# trading signals executed in manager's Interactive Brokers (server 2 / Stocks, Option, Futures) account
1,240
Percent signals followed since 03/27/2020
100%
This information was last updated
6/17/25 18:47 ET
Warning: System trading results are still hypothetical.
Even though the system developer is currently trading his own system in a real-life brokerage account,
the trading results presented on this Web site must still be regarded as purely hypothetical results.
This is because (among other reasons) the system developer may not have traded all signals,
particularly those that occurred before 03/27/2020,
and the system developer's results may not match the system results presented here. In addition,
not all subscribers have received the same trades or prices as the system manager has. For these reasons, and others, it is extremely important you remember the following:
Riguardo ai risultati che vedi su questo sito Web
I risultati passati non sono necessariamente indicativi dei risultati futuri.
Questi risultati si basano su risultati di performance simulati o ipotetici. I risultati delle performance ipotetiche presentano molte limitazioni intrinseche, alcune delle quali sono descritte di seguito. Non viene fornita alcuna rappresentazione che qualsiasi conto otterrà o avrà probabilità di ottenere profitti o perdite simili a quelli mostrati. Infatti, vi sono spesso notevoli differenze tra i risultati delle performance ipotetiche e i risultati effettivi successivamente ottenuti da qualsiasi specifico programma di trading.
Uno dei limiti dei risultati delle performance ipotetiche è che sono generalmente preparati con il beneficio del senno di poi. Inoltre, il trading ipotetico non comporta rischio finanziario e nessun record di trading ipotetico può tener conto completamente dell'impatto del rischio finanziario nel trading effettivo. Ad esempio, la capacità di sopportare perdite o di attenersi a un particolare programma di trading nonostante le perdite di trading sono punti rilevanti che possono influire negativamente anche sui risultati effettivi del trading. Ci sono numerosi altri fattori legati ai mercati in generale o all'attuazione di qualsiasi specifico programma di trading che non possono essere pienamente considerati nella preparazione dei risultati delle performance ipotetiche e tutti i quali possono influire negativamente sui risultati effettivi del trading.
Potresti essere interessato a saperne di più sui dettagli tecnici riguardo
come Collective2 calcola i risultati ipotetici che vedi su questo sito web.
AI TQQQ SQQQ swing
(128265049)
Powered by
BrokerTransmit.
Read important
disclosures.

This system has earned Trades-Own-Strategy (TOS) Certification. This means that the manager of this system trades his own strategy in a real-life, funded brokerage account.
Trades-Own-Strategy (TOS) Certification Details | |
---|---|
Certification process started | 03/27/2020 |
Most recent certification approved | 3/27/20 9:37 ET |
Trades at broker | Interactive Brokers (server 2 / Stocks, Option, Futures) |
Scaling percentage used | 100% |
# trading signals issued by system since certification | 1,240 |
# trading signals executed in manager's Interactive Brokers (server 2 / Stocks, Option, Futures) account | 1,240 |
Percent signals followed since 03/27/2020 | 100% |
This information was last updated | 6/17/25 18:47 ET |
Warning: System trading results are still hypothetical.
Even though the system developer is currently trading his own system in a real-life brokerage account, the trading results presented on this Web site must still be regarded as purely hypothetical results. This is because (among other reasons) the system developer may not have traded all signals, particularly those that occurred before 03/27/2020, and the system developer's results may not match the system results presented here. In addition, not all subscribers have received the same trades or prices as the system manager has. For these reasons, and others, it is extremely important you remember the following:
Riguardo ai risultati che vedi su questo sito Web
I risultati passati non sono necessariamente indicativi dei risultati futuri.
Questi risultati si basano su risultati di performance simulati o ipotetici. I risultati delle performance ipotetiche presentano molte limitazioni intrinseche, alcune delle quali sono descritte di seguito. Non viene fornita alcuna rappresentazione che qualsiasi conto otterrà o avrà probabilità di ottenere profitti o perdite simili a quelli mostrati. Infatti, vi sono spesso notevoli differenze tra i risultati delle performance ipotetiche e i risultati effettivi successivamente ottenuti da qualsiasi specifico programma di trading.
Uno dei limiti dei risultati delle performance ipotetiche è che sono generalmente preparati con il beneficio del senno di poi. Inoltre, il trading ipotetico non comporta rischio finanziario e nessun record di trading ipotetico può tener conto completamente dell'impatto del rischio finanziario nel trading effettivo. Ad esempio, la capacità di sopportare perdite o di attenersi a un particolare programma di trading nonostante le perdite di trading sono punti rilevanti che possono influire negativamente anche sui risultati effettivi del trading. Ci sono numerosi altri fattori legati ai mercati in generale o all'attuazione di qualsiasi specifico programma di trading che non possono essere pienamente considerati nella preparazione dei risultati delle performance ipotetiche e tutti i quali possono influire negativamente sui risultati effettivi del trading.
Potresti essere interessato a saperne di più sui dettagli tecnici riguardo come Collective2 calcola i risultati ipotetici che vedi su questo sito web.
Powered by
BrokerTransmit.
Read important
disclosures.
Subscription terms. Subscriptions to this system cost $120.00 per month.
C2Star
C2Star è un programma di certificazione per le strategie di trading. Per diventare "Certificato C2Star", una strategia deve applicare controlli di rischio rigorosi e deve mostrare caratteristiche di performance eccellenti, tra cui riduzioni limitate.
Puoi leggere di più sui requisiti di certificazione C2Star qui.
Nota che: tutte le strategie di trading comportano rischi e la certificazione C2Star non implica che una strategia sia a basso rischio.
Trend-following
Tries to take advantage of long, medium or short-term moves that seem to play out in various markets. Typically, trend-following analysis is backward looking; that is, it attempts to recognize and profit from already-established trends.Sector: Technology
Focuses primarily on stocks of technology companies.Calcolo del rendimento
Panoramica
Per conformarsi alle normative NFA, mostriamo il tasso di rendimento cumulativo per le strategie con un track record inferiore a un anno. Per le strategie con track record più lunghi, mostriamo il tasso di rendimento annuale (composto).
Come si calcola il tasso di rendimento annuale (composto)
= ((Patrimonio_finale / Patrimonio_iniziale) ^ (1 / anni)) - 1
Ricorda che, in base ai requisiti NFA, i costi di abbonamento alle strategie e le commissioni stimate sono inclusi nei calcoli del patrimonio valutato a mercato.
Tutti i risultati sono ipotetici.
Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | YTD | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2020 | +1.7% | +11.1% | +13.8% | +16.2% | +16.8% | +27.7% | (9.5%) | +11.9% | +33.5% | +10.2% | +232.2% | ||
2021 | (1.8%) | +9.5% | +6.5% | +19.1% | +10.7% | +14.3% | (5%) | +7.5% | (24.1%) | +21.4% | +6.6% | (5.8%) | +63.1% |
2022 | (11.7%) | (25.4%) | +11.9% | +15.9% | +2.5% | (3.7%) | +21.3% | (4.7%) | (12%) | (11.2%) | (11.4%) | +17.7% | (20.6%) |
2023 | +12.5% | (2.6%) | +0.2% | (19%) | +43.4% | +10.7% | +17.8% | +13.6% | (17.5%) | (8.6%) | +1.4% | +17.7% | +70.1% |
2024 | (5.1%) | +9.3% | (10.7%) | +4.4% | +16.0% | +0.4% | +2.2% | (18.1%) | (23.2%) | (15.4%) | (5.2%) | (2.5%) | (43.5%) |
2025 | (5.6%) | +8.4% | (13.1%) | +30.4% | (8.1%) | (0.5%) | +6.1% |
Dettagli Account Modello
Una strategia di trading su Collective2. Seguila nel tuo account di brokeraggio o utilizza un account di trading simulato gratuito.
Gli utenti avanzati potrebbero voler utilizzare queste informazioni per regolare il loro AutoTrade scaling o semplicemente per comprendere le grandezze del grafico vicino.
Iniziato | $3,500 | |
Potere d'acquisto | $22,315 | |
Contante | $1 | |
Patrimonio | $1 | |
Cumulativo $ | $18,815 | |
Inclusi dividendi e scadenze liquidate in contanti: | $1,588 | Dettagliato |
Patrimonio totale del sistema | $22,315 | |
A margine | $1 | |
P/L aperto | ($566) | |
I dati sono stati ritardati di 72 ore per i non abbonati |
System developer has asked us to delay this information by 72 hours.
Trading Record
Statistics
-
Strategy began3/26/2020
-
Suggested Minimum Cap$15,000
-
Strategy Age (days)1909.33
-
Age64 months ago
-
What it tradesStocks
-
# Trades597
-
# Profitable280
-
% Profitable46.90%
-
Avg trade duration3.1 days
-
Max peak-to-valley drawdown66.55%
-
drawdown periodJuly 10, 2024 - April 07, 2025
-
Annual Return (Compounded)32.6%
-
Avg win$653.02
-
Avg loss$527.90
- Model Account Values (Raw)
-
Cash$22,315
-
Margin Used$0
-
Buying Power$22,315
- Ratios
-
W:L ratio1.10:1
-
Sharpe Ratio0.67
-
Sortino Ratio1.01
-
Calmar Ratio0.849
- CORRELATION STATISTICS
-
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)211.49%
-
Correlation to SP5000.24000
-
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life128.23%
- Return Statistics
-
Ann Return (w trading costs)32.6%
- Slump
-
Current Slump as Pcnt Equity109.50%
- Instruments
-
Percent Trades Futuresn/a
- Slump
-
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.18%
- Instruments
-
Short Options - Percent Covered100.00%
- Return Statistics
-
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.326%
- Instruments
-
Percent Trades Optionsn/a
-
Percent Trades Stocks1.00%
-
Percent Trades Forexn/a
- Return Statistics
-
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)42.5%
- Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)
-
Chance of 10% account loss65.50%
-
Chance of 20% account loss42.50%
-
Chance of 30% account loss22.50%
-
Chance of 40% account loss9.50%
-
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)1.50%
-
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.50%
-
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)n/a
-
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)n/a
-
Chance of 100% account loss (Monte Carlo)n/a
- Automation
-
Percentage Signals Automatedn/a
- Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)
-
Chance of 50% account loss3.50%
- Popularity
-
Popularity (Today)636
-
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)929
- Trading Style
-
Any stock shorts? 0/10
- Popularity
-
C2 Score465
-
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)696
- Trades-Own-System Certification
-
Trades Own System?Yes
-
TOS percent100%
- Win / Loss
-
Avg Loss$528
-
Avg Win$653
-
Sum Trade PL (losers)$167,343.000
- Age
-
Num Months filled monthly returns table64
- Win / Loss
-
Sum Trade PL (winners)$182,846.000
-
# Winners280
-
Num Months Winners37
- Dividends
-
Dividends Received in Model Acct1589
- AUM
-
AUM (AutoTrader live capital)772638
- Win / Loss
-
# Losers317
-
% Winners46.9%
- Frequency
-
Avg Position Time (mins)4510.77
-
Avg Position Time (hrs)75.18
-
Avg Trade Length3.1 days
-
Last Trade Ago0
- Leverage
-
Daily leverage (average)2.59
-
Daily leverage (max)5.70
- Regression
-
Alpha0.08
-
Beta0.62
-
Treynor Index0.17
- Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)
-
MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.02
-
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy-
-
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)-
-
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)-
-
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)0.04
-
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.01
-
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.02
-
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades-2.208
-
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat-
-
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat-
-
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.03
-
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.290
-
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-0.696
-
Hold-and-Hope Ratio-0.453
- Analysis based on MONTHLY values, full history
- RATIO STATISTICS
- Ratio statistics of excess return rates
- Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
-
Mean0.45897
-
SD0.50182
-
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.91462
-
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.90333
-
df61.00000
-
t2.07897
-
p0.02092
-
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.03366
-
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.78837
-
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.02629
-
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.78037
- Statistics related to Sortino ratio
-
Sortino ratio1.66947
-
Upside Potential Ratio3.51876
-
Upside part of mean0.96738
-
Downside part of mean-0.50841
-
Upside SD0.43558
-
Downside SD0.27492
-
N nonnegative terms35.00000
-
N negative terms27.00000
- Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
-
N of observations62.00000
-
Mean of predictor0.14558
-
Mean of criterion0.45897
-
SD of predictor0.15490
-
SD of criterion0.50182
-
Covariance0.03473
-
r0.44677
-
b (slope, estimate of beta)1.44737
-
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.24826
-
Mean Square Error0.20491
-
DF error60.00000
-
t(b)3.86824
-
p(b)0.00014
-
t(a)1.20242
-
p(a)0.11696
-
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.69892
-
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta2.19581
-
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.16473
-
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.66125
-
Treynor index (mean / b)0.31711
-
Jensen alpha (a)0.24826
- Ratio statistics of excess log return rates
- Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
-
Mean0.33261
-
SD0.49030
-
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.67838
-
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.67000
-
df61.00000
-
t1.54197
-
p0.06413
-
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.19493
-
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.54625
-
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.20042
-
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.54043
- Statistics related to Sortino ratio
-
Sortino ratio1.09771
-
Upside Potential Ratio2.91342
-
Upside part of mean0.88277
-
Downside part of mean-0.55016
-
Upside SD0.39234
-
Downside SD0.30300
-
N nonnegative terms35.00000
-
N negative terms27.00000
- Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
-
N of observations62.00000
-
Mean of predictor0.13279
-
Mean of criterion0.33261
-
SD of predictor0.15389
-
SD of criterion0.49030
-
Covariance0.03431
-
r0.45472
-
b (slope, estimate of beta)1.44875
-
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.14023
-
Mean Square Error0.19387
-
DF error60.00000
-
t(b)3.95480
-
p(b)0.00010
-
t(a)0.70215
-
p(a)0.24265
-
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.71599
-
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta2.18151
-
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.25927
-
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.53974
-
Treynor index (mean / b)0.22958
-
Jensen alpha (a)0.14023
- Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (parametric)
- assuming log normal returns and losses (using central moments from Sharpe statistics)
-
VaR(95%)0.18543
-
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.23117
- assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics)
-
VaR(95%)0.09037
-
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.17159
- ORDER STATISTICS
- Quartiles of return rates
-
Number of observations62.00000
-
Minimum0.74003
-
Quartile 10.93450
-
Median1.03950
-
Quartile 31.15637
-
Maximum1.32549
-
Mean of quarter 10.85828
-
Mean of quarter 20.98678
-
Mean of quarter 31.08975
-
Mean of quarter 41.22721
-
Inter Quartile Range0.22187
-
Number outliers low0.00000
-
Percentage of outliers low0.00000
-
Mean of outliers low0.00000
-
Number of outliers high0.00000
-
Percentage of outliers high0.00000
-
Mean of outliers high0.00000
- Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (based on Ex
-
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.53624
-
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.14738
-
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.16755
-
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.52029
-
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.16741
-
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.19234
- DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
- Quartiles of draw downs
-
Number of observations7.00000
-
Minimum0.02397
-
Quartile 10.06663
-
Median0.27857
-
Quartile 30.38346
-
Maximum0.42787
-
Mean of quarter 10.03712
-
Mean of quarter 20.18078
-
Mean of quarter 30.37182
-
Mean of quarter 40.41148
-
Inter Quartile Range0.31683
-
Number outliers low0.00000
-
Percentage of outliers low0.00000
-
Mean of outliers low0.00000
-
Number of outliers high0.00000
-
Percentage of outliers high0.00000
-
Mean of outliers high0.00000
- Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value T
-
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.00000
-
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.00000
-
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.00000
-
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.00000
-
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.00000
-
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.00000
- COMBINED STATISTICS
-
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)1.05307
-
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.43407
-
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)1.01449
-
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs1.05488
-
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal1.87770
-
0.00000
-
0.00000
- Analysis based on DAILY values, full history
- RATIO STATISTICS
- Ratio statistics of excess return rates
- Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
-
Mean0.42236
-
SD0.42366
-
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.99692
-
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.99637
-
df1354.00000
-
t2.26716
-
p0.46925
-
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.13410
-
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.85942
-
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.13371
-
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.85903
- Statistics related to Sortino ratio
-
Sortino ratio1.51779
-
Upside Potential Ratio9.72565
-
Upside part of mean2.70638
-
Downside part of mean-2.28402
-
Upside SD0.32032
-
Downside SD0.27827
-
N nonnegative terms692.00000
-
N negative terms663.00000
- Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
-
N of observations1355.00000
-
Mean of predictor0.14833
-
Mean of criterion0.42236
-
SD of predictor0.18603
-
SD of criterion0.42366
-
Covariance0.01871
-
r0.23736
-
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.54057
-
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.34200
-
Mean Square Error0.16950
-
DF error1353.00000
-
t(b)8.98768
-
p(b)0.35032
-
t(a)1.88780
-
p(a)0.46738
-
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.42258
-
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.65856
-
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.01340
-
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.69776
-
Treynor index (mean / b)0.78133
-
Jensen alpha (a)0.34218
- Ratio statistics of excess log return rates
- Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
-
Mean0.33272
-
SD0.42261
-
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.78731
-
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.78687
-
df1354.00000
-
t1.79046
-
p0.47570
-
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.07518
-
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.64953
-
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.07548
-
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.64923
- Statistics related to Sortino ratio
-
Sortino ratio1.16447
-
Upside Potential Ratio9.29764
-
Upside part of mean2.65660
-
Downside part of mean-2.32388
-
Upside SD0.31184
-
Downside SD0.28573
-
N nonnegative terms692.00000
-
N negative terms663.00000
- Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
-
N of observations1355.00000
-
Mean of predictor0.13101
-
Mean of criterion0.33272
-
SD of predictor0.18590
-
SD of criterion0.42261
-
Covariance0.01862
-
r0.23697
-
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.53871
-
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.26215
-
Mean Square Error0.16869
-
DF error1353.00000
-
t(b)8.97220
-
p(b)0.35056
-
t(a)1.45013
-
p(a)0.47493
-
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.42093
-
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.65650
-
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.09248
-
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.61678
-
Treynor index (mean / b)0.61763
-
Jensen alpha (a)0.26215
- Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (parametric)
- assuming log normal returns and losses (using central moments from Sharpe statistics)
-
VaR(95%)0.04082
-
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.05118
- assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics)
-
VaR(95%)0.01988
-
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.03826
- ORDER STATISTICS
- Quartiles of return rates
-
Number of observations1355.00000
-
Minimum0.86940
-
Quartile 10.98760
-
Median1.00054
-
Quartile 31.01515
-
Maximum1.13776
-
Mean of quarter 10.97084
-
Mean of quarter 20.99454
-
Mean of quarter 31.00741
-
Mean of quarter 41.03410
-
Inter Quartile Range0.02755
-
Number outliers low25.00000
-
Percentage of outliers low0.01845
-
Mean of outliers low0.92630
-
Number of outliers high36.00000
-
Percentage of outliers high0.02657
-
Mean of outliers high1.07398
- Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (based on Ex
-
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.02390
-
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.02732
-
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.03701
-
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.03152
-
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.02691
-
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.03646
- DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
- Quartiles of draw downs
-
Number of observations63.00000
-
Minimum0.00069
-
Quartile 10.00651
-
Median0.03947
-
Quartile 30.08981
-
Maximum0.51176
-
Mean of quarter 10.00316
-
Mean of quarter 20.02220
-
Mean of quarter 30.06713
-
Mean of quarter 40.20681
-
Inter Quartile Range0.08330
-
Number outliers low0.00000
-
Percentage of outliers low0.00000
-
Mean of outliers low0.00000
-
Number of outliers high5.00000
-
Percentage of outliers high0.07937
-
Mean of outliers high0.38904
- Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value T
-
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.45803
-
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.23296
-
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.46711
-
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.46976
-
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.18823
-
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.34984
- COMBINED STATISTICS
-
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)1.05507
-
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.43423
-
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.84852
-
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs2.09962
-
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal8.48413
-
0.00000
-
0.00000
- Analysis based on DAILY values, last 6 months only
- RATIO STATISTICS
- Ratio statistics of excess return rates
- Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
-
Mean0.22232
-
SD0.40925
-
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.54322
-
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.54008
-
df130.00000
-
t0.38412
-
p0.48317
-
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.23034
-
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.31485
-
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.23250
-
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.31267
- Statistics related to Sortino ratio
-
Sortino ratio0.88789
-
Upside Potential Ratio9.23082
-
Upside part of mean2.31126
-
Downside part of mean-2.08895
-
Upside SD0.32203
-
Downside SD0.25039
-
N nonnegative terms57.00000
-
N negative terms74.00000
- Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
-
N of observations131.00000
-
Mean of predictor-0.02096
-
Mean of criterion0.22232
-
SD of predictor0.24590
-
SD of criterion0.40925
-
Covariance0.02951
-
r0.29323
-
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.48803
-
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.23255
-
Mean Square Error0.15427
-
DF error129.00000
-
t(b)3.48360
-
p(b)0.31603
-
t(a)0.41864
-
p(a)0.47656
-
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.21085
-
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.76520
-
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.86648
-
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.33157
-
Treynor index (mean / b)0.45554
-
Jensen alpha (a)0.23255
- Ratio statistics of excess log return rates
- Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
-
Mean0.14044
-
SD0.40457
-
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.34714
-
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.34513
-
df130.00000
-
t0.24546
-
p0.48924
-
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.42560
-
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.11866
-
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.42699
-
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.11725
- Statistics related to Sortino ratio
-
Sortino ratio0.54833
-
Upside Potential Ratio8.82965
-
Upside part of mean2.26147
-
Downside part of mean-2.12103
-
Upside SD0.31129
-
Downside SD0.25612
-
N nonnegative terms57.00000
-
N negative terms74.00000
- Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
-
N of observations131.00000
-
Mean of predictor-0.05069
-
Mean of criterion0.14044
-
SD of predictor0.24427
-
SD of criterion0.40457
-
Covariance0.02944
-
r0.29795
-
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.49348
-
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.16545
-
Mean Square Error0.15030
-
DF error129.00000
-
t(b)3.54509
-
p(b)0.31316
-
t(a)0.30174
-
p(a)0.48309
-
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.04100
-
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.21807
-
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.76889
-
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.91941
-
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.25031
-
Treynor index (mean / b)0.28459
-
Jensen alpha (a)0.16545
- Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (parametric)
- assuming log normal returns and losses (using central moments from Sharpe statistics)
-
VaR(95%)0.03976
-
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.04970
- assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics)
-
VaR(95%)0.01987
-
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.03715
- ORDER STATISTICS
- Quartiles of return rates
-
Number of observations131.00000
-
Minimum0.92454
-
Quartile 10.98874
-
Median0.99920
-
Quartile 31.01046
-
Maximum1.12370
-
Mean of quarter 10.97386
-
Mean of quarter 20.99480
-
Mean of quarter 31.00335
-
Mean of quarter 41.03187
-
Inter Quartile Range0.02172
-
Number outliers low3.00000
-
Percentage of outliers low0.02290
-
Mean of outliers low0.93613
-
Number of outliers high4.00000
-
Percentage of outliers high0.03053
-
Mean of outliers high1.08485
- Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (based on Ex
-
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.03941
-
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.02500
-
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.03413
-
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.02482
-
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.02211
-
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.02840
- DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
- Quartiles of draw downs
-
Number of observations3.00000
-
Minimum0.05634
-
Quartile 10.09383
-
Median0.13132
-
Quartile 30.16171
-
Maximum0.19210
-
Mean of quarter 10.05634
-
Mean of quarter 20.13132
-
Mean of quarter 30.00000
-
Mean of quarter 40.19210
-
Inter Quartile Range0.06788
-
Number outliers low0.00000
-
Percentage of outliers low0.00000
-
Mean of outliers low0.00000
-
Number of outliers high0.00000
-
Percentage of outliers high0.00000
-
Mean of outliers high0.00000
- Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value T
-
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.00000
-
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.00000
-
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.00000
-
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.00000
-
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.00000
-
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.75%
-
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.00000
-
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-414371000
-
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)271
- COMBINED STATISTICS
-
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.17564
-
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.18335
-
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.95446
-
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0.95446
-
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal3.68910
Strategy Description
This trading strategy is centered around the 3x Long NASDAQ ETF, TQQQ, with the capability to take short positions through SQQQ. This strategy is underpinned by the sophisticated application of machine learning (Artificial Intelligence) techniques and swing/day trading.
Leveraged ETFs and Risk Mitigation
It is imperative to recognize that leveraged ETFs offer the potential for substantial returns but simultaneously carry a heightened degree of risk, attributable to their 3x leverage. Our approach seeks to mitigate this risk by adopting a dynamic stance that involves holding the long ETF during favorable market conditions while holding the inverse ETF during market downturns. This decision-making process is driven by our machine learning algorithms, ensuring a data-driven and disciplined approach.
Risk Management and Capital Allocation
Incorporated into our strategy is a meticulous approach to risk management, wherein position sizing is a pivotal component. It is essential for participants to exercise prudent judgment when scaling their positions to align with their risk tolerance.
Account Requirements and Geographic Considerations
Participants in our strategy should be aware that a margin account is required. We do not employ martingale strategies or margin utilization. In the case of an Individual Retirement Account (IRA), IRA margin is mandatory. Additionally, it's important to note that the ETFs we utilize are not available through Interactive Brokers in Europe.
Account Size and Automation
we recommend a minimum account size of $30,000 to avoid Pattern Day Trader violations. Additionally, we highly recommend using Collective2's autotrading to ensure timely execution and adherence to our algorithmic approach. We emphasize that this strategy should only be implemented with funds designated as risk capital, capital that one is prepared to lose entirely if necessary. Our system is entirely algorithmic, devoid of discretionary decision-making.
Most values on this page (including the Strategy Equity Chart, above) have been adjusted by estimated trading commissions and subscription costs.
Some advanced users find it useful to see "raw" Model Account values. These numbers do not include any commissions, fees, subscription costs, or dividend actions.
Strategy developers can "archive" strategies at any time. This means the strategy Model Account is reset to its initial level and the trade list cleared. However, all archived track records are permanently preserved for evaluation by potential subscribers.
Riguardo ai risultati che vedi su questo sito web
I risultati passati non sono necessariamente indicativi dei risultati futuri.
Questi risultati si basano su performance simulate o ipotetiche che presentano alcune limitazioni intrinseche. A differenza dei risultati mostrati in un registro delle prestazioni effettive, questi risultati non rappresentano trading effettivo. Inoltre, poiché queste operazioni non sono state effettivamente eseguite, questi risultati potrebbero aver sotto o sovrastimato l'impatto, se presente, di alcuni fattori di mercato, come la mancanza di liquidità. I programmi di trading simulati o ipotetici in generale sono soggetti anche al fatto che sono progettati con il beneficio del senno di poi. Non viene fatta alcuna rappresentazione che qualsiasi conto raggiungerà o sarà probabile ottenere profitti o perdite simili a quelli mostrati.
Inoltre, il trading ipotetico non comporta rischio finanziario e nessun record di trading ipotetico può tener conto completamente dell'impatto del rischio finanziario nel trading effettivo. Ad esempio, la capacità di sopportare perdite o di attenersi a un particolare programma di trading nonostante le perdite commerciali sono punti materiali che possono influire negativamente sui risultati del trading effettivo. Ci sono numerosi altri fattori legati ai mercati in generale o all'attuazione di qualsiasi specifico programma di trading, che non possono essere pienamente contabilizzati nella preparazione dei risultati delle prestazioni ipotetiche e tutti i quali possono influire negativamente sui risultati del trading effettivo.
Ipotesi e metodi materiali utilizzati nel calcolo dei risultati
Le seguenti sono ipotesi materiali utilizzate nel calcolo di eventuali risultati mensili ipotetici che appaiono sul nostro sito web.
- I profitti vengono reinvestiti. Presumiamo che i profitti (quando ci sono) vengano reinvestiti nella strategia di trading.
- Dimensione dell'investimento iniziale. Per qualsiasi strategia di trading sul nostro sito, i risultati ipotetici si basano sull'ipotesi che tu abbia investito l'importo iniziale mostrato sul grafico delle prestazioni della strategia. In alcuni casi, gli importi nominali in dollari sul grafico del patrimonio sono stati ridimensionati verso il basso per rendere le dimensioni di trading attuali più gestibili. In questi casi, potrebbe non essere stato possibile scambiare la strategia storicamente ai livelli di patrimonio mostrati sul grafico e un capitale minimo più elevato era richiesto in passato.
- Tutte le spese sono incluse. Nel calcolo dei rendimenti cumulativi, cerchiamo di stimare e includere tutte le spese che un tipico trader sostiene quando fa AutoTrading utilizzando la tecnologia AutoTrade. Ciò include il costo dell'abbonamento alla strategia, più eventuali commissioni per operazione di AutoTrade, più le commissioni di intermediazione stimate, se presenti.
- Metodo di calcolo del "Max Drawdown". Calcoliamo la statistica Max Drawdown come segue. Il nostro software informatico esamina il grafico del patrimonio del sistema in questione e trova la percentuale più grande in cui il grafico del patrimonio diminuisce mai da un "picco" locale a un punto successivo nel tempo (quindi questo è formalmente chiamato "Massimo calo dal picco alla valle"). Sebbene queste informazioni siano utili nella valutazione dei sistemi di trading, dovresti tenere presente che le prestazioni passate non garantiscono risultati futuri. Pertanto, i cali futuri potrebbero essere maggiori rispetto ai massimi cali storici che vedi qui.
Il trading è rischioso
C'è un rischio sostanziale di perdita nel trading di futures e forex. Il trading online di azioni e opzioni è estremamente rischioso. Presumi che perderai denaro. Non fare trading con denaro che non puoi permetterti di perdere.
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Suggested Minimum Capital
This is our estimate of the minimum amount of capital to follow a strategy, assuming you use the smallest reasonable AutoTrade Scaling % for the strategy.