Collective2 Collective2
Featured Strategy TechSignal Followed by live capital $584.7 thousand Hypothetical

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Lista osservati Lista osservati

These are hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Learn more


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ares
(131145247)

Creato da: ares_Systemtrading ares_Systemtrading
Started: 09/2020
Futures
Last trade: 7 days ago
Trading style: Futures Trend-following Short Term

Subscriptions not available

No subscriptions are currently available for this strategy because the strategy manager has capped the maximum number of subscribers.

Subscription terms. Subscriptions to this system cost $100.00 per month.

C2Star

C2Star è un programma di certificazione per le strategie di trading. Per diventare "Certificato C2Star", una strategia deve applicare controlli di rischio rigorosi e deve mostrare caratteristiche di performance eccellenti, tra cui riduzioni limitate.

Puoi leggere di più sui requisiti di certificazione C2Star qui.

Nota che: tutte le strategie di trading comportano rischi e la certificazione C2Star non implica che una strategia sia a basso rischio.

Trading Category: Futures
Trend-following
Category: Equity

Trend-following

Buys when price goes up, and sells when price goes down, expecting price movements to continue. There are a number of different techniques and time-frames used, including moving averages and channel breakouts. Traders do not aim to forecast specific price levels; they simply jump on a trend and ride it. Typically, trend-following analysis is backward looking; that is, it attempts to recognize and profit from already-established trends.
Short Term
Category: Equity

Short Term

Makes short-term trades or bases analysis on short-term market movements.

35.5%
Annual Return (Compounded)

Calcolo del rendimento

Panoramica

Per conformarsi alle normative NFA, mostriamo il tasso di rendimento cumulativo per le strategie con un track record inferiore a un anno. Per le strategie con track record più lunghi, mostriamo il tasso di rendimento annuale (composto).

Come si calcola il tasso di rendimento annuale (composto)

= ((Patrimonio_finale / Patrimonio_iniziale) ^ (1 / anni)) - 1

Ricorda che, in base ai requisiti NFA, i costi di abbonamento alle strategie e le commissioni stimate sono inclusi nei calcoli del patrimonio valutato a mercato.

Tutti i risultati sono ipotetici.

(14.1%)
Max Drawdown
631
Num Trades
35.5%
Win Trades
1.5 : 1
Profit Factor
63.8%
Win Months
Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes system fee and Typical Broker commissions and fees)
 JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2020                                                        (1.2%)+16.3%(1.7%)+0.3%+13.3%
2021(4.8%)(2.9%)+4.0%+1.4%+1.3%+8.4%+0.3%+10.6%+0.8%(2.6%)(3.9%)+5.0%+17.8%
2022+6.7%+5.4%+8.3%+14.0%+13.2%+2.2%(0.7%)+2.8%+2.2%(1%)(5.3%)+12.3%+76.4%
2023+2.9%(0.6%)(7.3%)+6.1%+3.9%+5.2%(6.2%)+8.3%(2.8%)(3.3%)+9.4%+2.4%+17.8%
2024+5.7%+5.3%(0.7%)+16.1%+2.0%+2.6%+4.5%+1.2%+1.7%+3.1%+1.3%+12.8%+70.2%
2025(2.8%)(0.9%)(3.3%)(0.1%)(0.3%)(2.7%)                                    (9.6%)


Dettagli Account Modello

Una strategia di trading su Collective2. Seguila nel tuo account di brokeraggio o utilizza un account di trading simulato gratuito.

Gli utenti avanzati potrebbero voler utilizzare queste informazioni per regolare il loro AutoTrade scaling o semplicemente per comprendere le grandezze del grafico vicino.

Trading Record

This strategy has placed 819 trades in real-life brokerage accounts. To see live brokerage data, select Show AutoTrade Data, and click on a Live AutoTrade Indicator symbol.

Show AutoTrade data Hide AutoTrade data
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Long
Short
Both
Win
Loss
Both
Opened Date/TimeSymbolDescriptionSideQuantAvg PriceClosed Date/TimeAvg PriceDrawdownP/L
6/10/25 9:39 @MNQM5 MICRO E-MINI NASDAQ 100 LONG 12 21874.72 6/10 11:32 21818.30 2.06%
Trade id #151978567
Max drawdown($2,219)
Time6/10/25 11:32
Quant open12
Worst price21782.20
Drawdown as % of equity-2.06%
 ($1,365)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $11.28
6/4/25 9:37 @MNQM5 MICRO E-MINI NASDAQ 100 LONG 9 21786.36 6/4 10:00 21699.90 1.78%
Trade id #151915684
Max drawdown($1,936)
Time6/4/25 10:00
Quant open9
Worst price21678.80
Drawdown as % of equity-1.78%
 ($1,564)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.46
5/2/25 11:58 @MNQM5 MICRO E-MINI NASDAQ 100 LONG 4 20202.21 5/2 15:55 20183.36 0.36%
Trade id #151605375
Max drawdown($397)
Time5/2/25 15:49
Quant open4
Worst price20152.50
Drawdown as % of equity-0.36%
 ($155)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $3.76
4/24/25 9:59 @MNQM5 MICRO E-MINI NASDAQ 100 LONG 3 19058.61 4/24 15:55 19320.67 0.05%
Trade id #151514098
Max drawdown($56)
Time4/24/25 10:03
Quant open3
Worst price19049.20
Drawdown as % of equity-0.05%
 $1,569
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $2.82
4/22/25 10:39 @MNQM5 MICRO E-MINI NASDAQ 100 LONG 5 18312.92 4/22 13:16 18306.73 0.24%
Trade id #151483841
Max drawdown($259)
Time4/22/25 11:44
Quant open5
Worst price18287.00
Drawdown as % of equity-0.24%
 ($67)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $4.70
4/21/25 10:05 @MNQM5 MICRO E-MINI NASDAQ 100 SHORT 9 17954.72 4/21 15:55 17923.11 0.56%
Trade id #151469424
Max drawdown($599)
Time4/21/25 10:41
Quant open9
Worst price17988.00
Drawdown as % of equity-0.56%
 $561
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.46
4/15/25 9:51 @MNQM5 MICRO E-MINI NASDAQ 100 LONG 4 19110.29 4/15 10:19 18988.16 1.11%
Trade id #151409556
Max drawdown($1,200)
Time4/15/25 10:19
Quant open4
Worst price18960.20
Drawdown as % of equity-1.11%
 ($981)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $3.76
4/14/25 11:31 @MNQM5 MICRO E-MINI NASDAQ 100 SHORT 4 18976.09 4/14 14:06 18978.26 0.09%
Trade id #151396525
Max drawdown($101)
Time4/14/25 11:35
Quant open4
Worst price18988.80
Drawdown as % of equity-0.09%
 ($21)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $3.76
4/14/25 9:44 @MNQM5 MICRO E-MINI NASDAQ 100 SHORT 4 19040.50 4/14 10:05 19163.49 1%
Trade id #151394750
Max drawdown($1,094)
Time4/14/25 10:05
Quant open4
Worst price19177.20
Drawdown as % of equity-1.00%
 ($988)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $3.76
3/28/25 10:39 @MNQM5 MICRO E-MINI NASDAQ 100 SHORT 7 19631.31 3/28 11:01 19565.75 0.24%
Trade id #151218674
Max drawdown($261)
Time3/28/25 10:44
Quant open7
Worst price19650.00
Drawdown as % of equity-0.24%
 $911
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $6.58
3/18/25 9:38 @MNQM5 MICRO E-MINI NASDAQ 100 SHORT 7 19790.80 3/18 15:55 19701.17 0.17%
Trade id #151124166
Max drawdown($181)
Time3/18/25 9:43
Quant open7
Worst price19803.80
Drawdown as % of equity-0.17%
 $1,248
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $6.58
3/14/25 10:06 @MNQH5 MICRO E-MINI NASDAQ 100 LONG 6 19572.90 3/14 10:12 19479.80 1.08%
Trade id #151101173
Max drawdown($1,171)
Time3/14/25 10:12
Quant open6
Worst price19475.20
Drawdown as % of equity-1.08%
 ($1,123)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $5.64
3/14/25 9:35 @MNQH5 MICRO E-MINI NASDAQ 100 LONG 6 19570.46 3/14 10:00 19461.73 1.57%
Trade id #151100390
Max drawdown($1,730)
Time3/14/25 10:00
Quant open6
Worst price19426.20
Drawdown as % of equity-1.57%
 ($1,311)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $5.64
3/13/25 11:42 @MNQH5 MICRO E-MINI NASDAQ 100 SHORT 6 19321.50 3/13 14:14 19314.86 0.75%
Trade id #151091233
Max drawdown($831)
Time3/13/25 12:40
Quant open6
Worst price19390.80
Drawdown as % of equity-0.75%
 $74
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $5.64
3/13/25 9:51 @MNQH5 MICRO E-MINI NASDAQ 100 SHORT 6 19456.57 3/13 10:14 19481.56 0.26%
Trade id #151089502
Max drawdown($293)
Time3/13/25 10:14
Quant open6
Worst price19481.00
Drawdown as % of equity-0.26%
 ($306)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $5.64
3/12/25 11:11 @MNQH5 MICRO E-MINI NASDAQ 100 SHORT 5 19452.80 3/12 11:32 19552.97 0.96%
Trade id #151079829
Max drawdown($1,074)
Time3/12/25 11:32
Quant open5
Worst price19560.20
Drawdown as % of equity-0.96%
 ($1,007)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $4.70
3/12/25 10:42 @MNQH5 MICRO E-MINI NASDAQ 100 SHORT 5 19542.53 3/12 10:58 19491.17 0.24%
Trade id #151079356
Max drawdown($262)
Time3/12/25 10:54
Quant open5
Worst price19568.80
Drawdown as % of equity-0.24%
 $509
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $4.70
3/5/25 11:47 @MNQH5 MICRO E-MINI NASDAQ 100 SHORT 4 20259.20 3/5 12:00 20397.20 1.04%
Trade id #151020451
Max drawdown($1,160)
Time3/5/25 12:00
Quant open4
Worst price20404.20
Drawdown as % of equity-1.04%
 ($1,108)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $3.76
3/3/25 9:59 @MNQH5 MICRO E-MINI NASDAQ 100 SHORT 5 20830.19 3/3 10:30 20975.91 1.4%
Trade id #150995136
Max drawdown($1,590)
Time3/3/25 10:30
Quant open5
Worst price20989.20
Drawdown as % of equity-1.40%
 ($1,462)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $4.70
2/27/25 9:45 @MNQH5 MICRO E-MINI NASDAQ 100 SHORT 7 21201.50 2/27 14:32 20846.20 0.09%
Trade id #150968197
Max drawdown($101)
Time2/27/25 9:48
Quant open7
Worst price21208.80
Drawdown as % of equity-0.09%
 $4,967
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $6.58
2/13/25 10:12 @MNQH5 MICRO E-MINI NASDAQ 100 LONG 11 21946.12 2/13 13:19 21927.61 1.12%
Trade id #150858892
Max drawdown($1,223)
Time2/13/25 13:19
Quant open11
Worst price21890.50
Drawdown as % of equity-1.12%
 ($417)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $10.34
2/13/25 10:02 @MNQH5 MICRO E-MINI NASDAQ 100 LONG 11 21946.65 2/13 10:07 21880.59 1.55%
Trade id #150858705
Max drawdown($1,713)
Time2/13/25 10:07
Quant open11
Worst price21868.80
Drawdown as % of equity-1.55%
 ($1,463)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $10.34
2/13/25 9:33 @MNQH5 MICRO E-MINI NASDAQ 100 LONG 11 21945.52 2/13 9:38 21882.16 2.13%
Trade id #150857999
Max drawdown($2,381)
Time2/13/25 9:38
Quant open11
Worst price21837.20
Drawdown as % of equity-2.13%
 ($1,404)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $10.34
2/7/25 9:31 @MNQH5 MICRO E-MINI NASDAQ 100 LONG 12 21931.59 2/7 10:00 21823.04 3.23%
Trade id #150805100
Max drawdown($3,698)
Time2/7/25 10:00
Quant open12
Worst price21777.50
Drawdown as % of equity-3.23%
 ($2,616)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $11.28
1/31/25 9:54 @MNQH5 MICRO E-MINI NASDAQ 100 LONG 9 21857.70 1/31 13:20 21834.99 0.56%
Trade id #150723037
Max drawdown($647)
Time1/31/25 13:20
Quant open9
Worst price21821.80
Drawdown as % of equity-0.56%
 ($417)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.46
1/30/25 10:06 @MNQH5 MICRO E-MINI NASDAQ 100 SHORT 11 21600.00 1/30 11:53 21602.76 0.49%
Trade id #150712506
Max drawdown($566)
Time1/30/25 10:11
Quant open11
Worst price21625.80
Drawdown as % of equity-0.49%
 ($71)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $10.34
1/30/25 9:48 @MNQH5 MICRO E-MINI NASDAQ 100 LONG 7 21706.77 1/30 10:02 21623.38 1.41%
Trade id #150711893
Max drawdown($1,631)
Time1/30/25 10:02
Quant open7
Worst price21590.20
Drawdown as % of equity-1.41%
 ($1,174)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $6.58
1/22/25 9:32 @MNQH5 MICRO E-MINI NASDAQ 100 LONG 8 21977.59 1/22 15:55 22008.85 0.71%
Trade id #150637039
Max drawdown($821)
Time1/22/25 9:36
Quant open8
Worst price21926.20
Drawdown as % of equity-0.71%
 $492
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $7.52
1/17/25 10:28 @MNQH5 MICRO E-MINI NASDAQ 100 SHORT 11 21507.20 1/17 10:35 21564.75 1.2%
Trade id #150599004
Max drawdown($1,414)
Time1/17/25 10:35
Quant open11
Worst price21571.50
Drawdown as % of equity-1.20%
 ($1,276)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $10.34
1/17/25 9:34 @MNQH5 MICRO E-MINI NASDAQ 100 SHORT 11 21570.00 1/17 10:06 21575.57 0.22%
Trade id #150597796
Max drawdown($258)
Time1/17/25 10:06
Quant open11
Worst price21581.80
Drawdown as % of equity-0.22%
 ($133)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $10.34

Successivo

Statistics

  • Strategy began
    9/12/2020
  • Suggested Minimum Cap
    $100,000
  • Strategy Age (days)
    1739.01
  • Age
    58 months ago
  • What it trades
    Futures
  • # Trades
    631
  • # Profitable
    224
  • % Profitable
    35.50%
  • Avg trade duration
    2.2 hours
  • Max peak-to-valley drawdown
    14.1%
  • drawdown period
    Oct 05, 2021 - Nov 26, 2021
  • Annual Return (Compounded)
    35.5%
  • Avg win
    $1,240
  • Avg loss
    $460.15
  • Model Account Values (Raw)
  • Cash
    $115,553
  • Margin Used
    $0
  • Buying Power
    $115,553
  • Ratios
  • W:L ratio
    1.48:1
  • Sharpe Ratio
    1.54
  • Sortino Ratio
    3.04
  • Calmar Ratio
    3.955
  • CORRELATION STATISTICS
  • Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)
    246.91%
  • Correlation to SP500
    -0.02270
  • Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life
    79.66%
  • Return Statistics
  • Ann Return (w trading costs)
    35.5%
  • Slump
  • Current Slump as Pcnt Equity
    13.20%
  • Instruments
  • Percent Trades Futures
    1.00%
  • Slump
  • Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life
    0.09%
  • Return Statistics
  • Return Pcnt Since TOS Status
    n/a
  • Instruments
  • Short Options - Percent Covered
    100.00%
  • Return Statistics
  • Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)
    0.355%
  • Instruments
  • Percent Trades Options
    n/a
  • Percent Trades Stocks
    n/a
  • Percent Trades Forex
    n/a
  • Return Statistics
  • Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)
    37.9%
  • Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)
  • Chance of 10% account loss
    8.00%
  • Chance of 20% account loss
    n/a
  • Chance of 30% account loss
    n/a
  • Chance of 40% account loss
    n/a
  • Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Automation
  • Percentage Signals Automated
    n/a
  • Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)
  • Chance of 50% account loss
    n/a
  • Popularity
  • Popularity (Today)
    941
  • Popularity (Last 6 weeks)
    997
  • Trading Style
  • Any stock shorts? 0/1
    0
  • Popularity
  • C2 Score
    990
  • Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)
    994
  • Trades-Own-System Certification
  • Trades Own System?
    -
  • TOS percent
    n/a
  • Win / Loss
  • Avg Loss
    $460
  • Avg Win
    $1,240
  • Sum Trade PL (losers)
    $187,280.000
  • Age
  • Num Months filled monthly returns table
    58
  • Win / Loss
  • Sum Trade PL (winners)
    $277,829.000
  • # Winners
    224
  • Num Months Winners
    37
  • Dividends
  • Dividends Received in Model Acct
    0
  • AUM
  • AUM (AutoTrader live capital)
    8228540
  • Win / Loss
  • # Losers
    407
  • % Winners
    35.5%
  • Frequency
  • Avg Position Time (mins)
    133.82
  • Avg Position Time (hrs)
    2.23
  • Avg Trade Length
    0.1 days
  • Last Trade Ago
    7
  • Leverage
  • Daily leverage (average)
    3.26
  • Daily leverage (max)
    12.59
  • Regression
  • Alpha
    0.08
  • Beta
    -0.02
  • Treynor Index
    -3.88
  • Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)
  • MAE:Equity, average, all trades
    0.01
  • MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
    -
  • MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
    -
  • MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
    -
  • MAE:PL (avg, all trades)
    -0.85
  • MAE:Equity, average, winning trades
    0.00
  • MAE:Equity, average, losing trades
    0.01
  • Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades
    18.631
  • MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
    -
  • MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
    -
  • MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
    0.01
  • Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades
    0.167
  • Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades
    -0.986
  • Hold-and-Hope Ratio
    0.054
  • Analysis based on MONTHLY values, full history
  • RATIO STATISTICS
  • Ratio statistics of excess return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.35035
  • SD
    0.17102
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    2.04856
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    2.01829
  • df
    51.00000
  • t
    4.26442
  • p
    0.00004
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    1.01838
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    3.06166
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    0.99853
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    3.03804
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    5.86078
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    7.45353
  • Upside part of mean
    0.44556
  • Downside part of mean
    -0.09521
  • Upside SD
    0.18799
  • Downside SD
    0.05978
  • N nonnegative terms
    37.00000
  • N negative terms
    15.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    52.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.11625
  • Mean of criterion
    0.35035
  • SD of predictor
    0.16618
  • SD of criterion
    0.17102
  • Covariance
    -0.00428
  • r
    -0.15075
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    -0.15514
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.36838
  • Mean Square Error
    0.02915
  • DF error
    50.00000
  • t(b)
    -1.07827
  • p(b)
    0.85696
  • t(a)
    4.40053
  • p(a)
    0.00003
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    -0.44413
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.13385
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.20024
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.53652
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    -2.25822
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.36838
  • Ratio statistics of excess log return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.33111
  • SD
    0.16536
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    2.00232
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    1.97273
  • df
    51.00000
  • t
    4.16817
  • p
    0.00006
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    0.97569
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    3.01210
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    0.95634
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    2.98913
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    5.42626
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    7.01303
  • Upside part of mean
    0.42793
  • Downside part of mean
    -0.09682
  • Upside SD
    0.17953
  • Downside SD
    0.06102
  • N nonnegative terms
    37.00000
  • N negative terms
    15.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    52.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.10199
  • Mean of criterion
    0.33111
  • SD of predictor
    0.16626
  • SD of criterion
    0.16536
  • Covariance
    -0.00394
  • r
    -0.14324
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    -0.14246
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.34564
  • Mean Square Error
    0.02732
  • DF error
    50.00000
  • t(b)
    -1.02340
  • p(b)
    0.84448
  • t(a)
    4.28513
  • p(a)
    0.00004
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    -0.42206
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.13714
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.18363
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.50764
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    -2.32422
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.34564
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (parametric)
  • assuming log normal returns and losses (using central moments from Sharpe statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.04965
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.06827
  • assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.01236
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.02743
  • ORDER STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of return rates
  • Number of observations
    52.00000
  • Minimum
    0.93844
  • Quartile 1
    0.99060
  • Median
    1.02404
  • Quartile 3
    1.06805
  • Maximum
    1.13800
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.97195
  • Mean of quarter 2
    1.00678
  • Mean of quarter 3
    1.04947
  • Mean of quarter 4
    1.09789
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.07746
  • Number outliers low
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Number of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (based on Ex
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    0.36161
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.02920
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.05388
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    0.70303
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.02109
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.05768
  • DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of draw downs
  • Number of observations
    10.00000
  • Minimum
    0.01093
  • Quartile 1
    0.02228
  • Median
    0.03846
  • Quartile 3
    0.04519
  • Maximum
    0.06957
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.01437
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.03176
  • Mean of quarter 3
    0.04427
  • Mean of quarter 4
    0.05883
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.02291
  • Number outliers low
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Number of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value T
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    -17.07570
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.06296
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.06296
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    -2.01513
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.08057
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.08137
  • COMBINED STATISTICS
  • Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)
    0.86274
  • Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)
    0.43192
  • Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)
    6.20805
  • Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs
    7.34230
  • Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal
    6.32620
  • 0.00000
  • 0.00000
  • Analysis based on DAILY values, full history
  • RATIO STATISTICS
  • Ratio statistics of excess return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.33194
  • SD
    0.15819
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    2.09839
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    2.09703
  • df
    1154.00000
  • t
    4.40582
  • p
    0.43569
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    1.16055
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    3.03536
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    1.15963
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    3.03443
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    4.18866
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    11.79570
  • Upside part of mean
    0.93478
  • Downside part of mean
    -0.60284
  • Upside SD
    0.13836
  • Downside SD
    0.07925
  • N nonnegative terms
    351.00000
  • N negative terms
    804.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    1155.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.11782
  • Mean of criterion
    0.33194
  • SD of predictor
    0.18127
  • SD of criterion
    0.15819
  • Covariance
    -0.00066
  • r
    -0.02299
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    -0.02006
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.33400
  • Mean Square Error
    0.02503
  • DF error
    1153.00000
  • t(b)
    -0.78084
  • p(b)
    0.51463
  • t(a)
    4.43287
  • p(a)
    0.41782
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    -0.07047
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.03035
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.18634
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.48227
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    -16.54580
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.33431
  • Ratio statistics of excess log return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.31935
  • SD
    0.15682
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    2.03636
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    2.03503
  • df
    1154.00000
  • t
    4.27558
  • p
    0.43756
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    1.09877
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    2.97312
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    1.09786
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    2.97221
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    4.00141
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    11.59380
  • Upside part of mean
    0.92530
  • Downside part of mean
    -0.60594
  • Upside SD
    0.13635
  • Downside SD
    0.07981
  • N nonnegative terms
    351.00000
  • N negative terms
    804.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    1155.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.10138
  • Mean of criterion
    0.31935
  • SD of predictor
    0.18119
  • SD of criterion
    0.15682
  • Covariance
    -0.00067
  • r
    -0.02347
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    -0.02031
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.32141
  • Mean Square Error
    0.02460
  • DF error
    1153.00000
  • t(b)
    -0.79702
  • p(b)
    0.51494
  • t(a)
    4.29989
  • p(a)
    0.42023
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    -0.07031
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.02969
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.17475
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.46807
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    -15.72370
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.32141
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (parametric)
  • assuming log normal returns and losses (using central moments from Sharpe statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.01461
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.01858
  • assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.00647
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.01238
  • ORDER STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of return rates
  • Number of observations
    1155.00000
  • Minimum
    0.97036
  • Quartile 1
    0.99686
  • Median
    1.00000
  • Quartile 3
    1.00356
  • Maximum
    1.07171
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.99166
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.99944
  • Mean of quarter 3
    1.00036
  • Mean of quarter 4
    1.01403
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.00669
  • Number outliers low
    43.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.03723
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.98242
  • Number of outliers high
    118.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.10216
  • Mean of outliers high
    1.02289
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (based on Ex
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    -0.03064
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.00741
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.00993
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    -0.14253
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.00789
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.01019
  • DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of draw downs
  • Number of observations
    64.00000
  • Minimum
    0.00013
  • Quartile 1
    0.00484
  • Median
    0.01462
  • Quartile 3
    0.03594
  • Maximum
    0.10497
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.00232
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.00908
  • Mean of quarter 3
    0.02489
  • Mean of quarter 4
    0.06521
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.03110
  • Number outliers low
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Number of outliers high
    4.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.06250
  • Mean of outliers high
    0.09555
  • Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value T
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    -0.52743
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.06991
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.07880
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    -0.57621
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.07171
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.08002
  • COMBINED STATISTICS
  • Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)
    0.82164
  • Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)
    0.41518
  • Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)
    3.95508
  • Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs
    6.36705
  • Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal
    22.34000
  • 0.00000
  • 0.00000
  • Analysis based on DAILY values, last 6 months only
  • RATIO STATISTICS
  • Ratio statistics of excess return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    -0.08598
  • SD
    0.10946
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    -0.78548
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    -0.78094
  • df
    130.00000
  • t
    -0.55542
  • p
    0.52433
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -3.55749
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    1.98942
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -3.55438
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    1.99249
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    -1.26269
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    5.44663
  • Upside part of mean
    0.37088
  • Downside part of mean
    -0.45686
  • Upside SD
    0.08533
  • Downside SD
    0.06809
  • N nonnegative terms
    22.00000
  • N negative terms
    109.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    131.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    -0.02096
  • Mean of criterion
    -0.08598
  • SD of predictor
    0.24590
  • SD of criterion
    0.10946
  • Covariance
    -0.00382
  • r
    -0.14175
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    -0.06310
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    -0.08730
  • Mean Square Error
    0.01183
  • DF error
    129.00000
  • t(b)
    -1.62645
  • p(b)
    0.58994
  • t(a)
    -0.56751
  • p(a)
    0.53176
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    -0.13986
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.01366
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -0.39167
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.21706
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    1.36257
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    -0.08730
  • Ratio statistics of excess log return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    -0.09188
  • SD
    0.10878
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    -0.84464
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    -0.83976
  • df
    130.00000
  • t
    -0.59725
  • p
    0.52616
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -3.61678
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    1.93064
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -3.61344
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    1.93393
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    -1.34019
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    5.35694
  • Upside part of mean
    0.36727
  • Downside part of mean
    -0.45915
  • Upside SD
    0.08411
  • Downside SD
    0.06856
  • N nonnegative terms
    22.00000
  • N negative terms
    109.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    131.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    -0.05069
  • Mean of criterion
    -0.09188
  • SD of predictor
    0.24427
  • SD of criterion
    0.10878
  • Covariance
    -0.00381
  • r
    -0.14335
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    -0.06384
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    -0.09512
  • Mean Square Error
    0.01168
  • DF error
    129.00000
  • t(b)
    -1.64514
  • p(b)
    0.59095
  • t(a)
    -0.62228
  • p(a)
    0.53481
  • VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)
    0.01500
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    -0.14062
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.01294
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -0.39754
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.20731
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    1.43926
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    -0.09512
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (parametric)
  • assuming log normal returns and losses (using central moments from Sharpe statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.01134
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.01411
  • assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.00544
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.01075
  • ORDER STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of return rates
  • Number of observations
    131.00000
  • Minimum
    0.97902
  • Quartile 1
    0.99982
  • Median
    1.00000
  • Quartile 3
    1.00000
  • Maximum
    1.04206
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.99343
  • Mean of quarter 2
    1.00000
  • Mean of quarter 3
    1.00000
  • Mean of quarter 4
    1.00569
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.00018
  • Number outliers low
    32.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.24427
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.99323
  • Number of outliers high
    22.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.16794
  • Mean of outliers high
    1.00854
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (based on Ex
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    -1.56195
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.00336
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.00351
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    -0.20301
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.00718
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.01006
  • DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of draw downs
  • Number of observations
    5.00000
  • Minimum
    0.00089
  • Quartile 1
    0.00191
  • Median
    0.00309
  • Quartile 3
    0.01525
  • Maximum
    0.08583
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.00140
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.00309
  • Mean of quarter 3
    0.01525
  • Mean of quarter 4
    0.08583
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.01334
  • Number outliers low
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Number of outliers high
    1.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.20000
  • Mean of outliers high
    0.08583
  • Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value T
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.00000
  • Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative
    1.00%
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.00000
  • Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?
    -352984000
  • Max Equity Drawdown (num days)
    52
  • COMBINED STATISTICS
  • Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)
    -0.06296
  • Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)
    -0.06197
  • Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)
    -0.72201
  • Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs
    -0.72201
  • Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal
    -4.39211

Strategy Description

With the increased number of subscribers and so AUM the maximum number of tradable contracts decreased. To prevent an event where this number is lower than ares needs I have limited the number of subscribers.

System ares trades MNQ Future long and short. Risk per trade is 1% of equity. No overnight. Always with stop.
The system is backtested and is 100% automated.
For deeper information of the backtest results you can pm me.
TOS not possible because of the Tax Regulations for derivatives in Germany.

Summary Statistics


Strategy began
2020-09-12
Suggested Minimum Capital
$100,000
Rank at C2 %
Top 1.0%
Rank # 
#7
# Trades
631
# Profitable
224
% Profitable
35.5%
Correlation S&P500
-0.023
Sharpe Ratio
1.54
Sortino Ratio
3.04
Beta
-0.02
Alpha
0.08
Leverage
3.26 Average
12.59 Maximum

Sommario
Leva finanziaria più alta = maggiore rischio.

Ulteriori informazioni sulla leva finanziaria

Collective2 calcola la leva finanziaria massima utilizzata da una strategia in ogni giorno. Mostriamo quindi la media di queste misurazioni (cioè la media della leva finanziaria massima giornaliera) e la più grande di queste misurazioni (leva finanziaria massima giornaliera).

La leva finanziaria è il rapporto tra il valore nozionale totale controllato da una strategia e il patrimonio del Model Account. Generalmente, una leva finanziaria più alta implica un rischio maggiore.

Esempio di calcolo:
La Strategia acquista 100 azioni a $12 per azione.
Il patrimonio del Model Account durante quel giorno è di $5.000.
La leva finanziaria è: $1200 / $5.000 = 0,24

Questa è una misurazione utile, ma deve essere considerata nel contesto. Questa misurazione non tiene conto di fattori importanti, come quando si detengono più posizioni che sono inversamente correlate. Né la misurazione tiene conto della volatilità degli strumenti detenuti.

Inoltre, alcune classi di attività sono per loro natura più leveraged di altre. Ad esempio, i contratti futures sono altamente leveraged. Le posizioni Forex sono spesso ancora più leveraged dei futures.

Latest Activity

#PERSONNAME#
subscribed on started simulation #SUBSCRIBEDDATE#

Trade journal

  • 9/15/2018, 10:03:33 PM BTS 200 EURUSD

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  • 9/13/2018, 9:07:33 PM BTO 1 ETHUSD

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Most values on this page (including the Strategy Equity Chart, above) have been adjusted by estimated trading commissions and subscription costs.

Some advanced users find it useful to see "raw" Model Account values. These numbers do not include any commissions, fees, subscription costs, or dividend actions.

Strategy developers can "archive" strategies at any time. This means the strategy Model Account is reset to its initial level and the trade list cleared. However, all archived track records are permanently preserved for evaluation by potential subscribers.



Riguardo ai risultati che vedi su questo sito web

I risultati passati non sono necessariamente indicativi dei risultati futuri.

Questi risultati si basano su performance simulate o ipotetiche che presentano alcune limitazioni intrinseche. A differenza dei risultati mostrati in un registro delle prestazioni effettive, questi risultati non rappresentano trading effettivo. Inoltre, poiché queste operazioni non sono state effettivamente eseguite, questi risultati potrebbero aver sotto o sovrastimato l'impatto, se presente, di alcuni fattori di mercato, come la mancanza di liquidità. I programmi di trading simulati o ipotetici in generale sono soggetti anche al fatto che sono progettati con il beneficio del senno di poi. Non viene fatta alcuna rappresentazione che qualsiasi conto raggiungerà o sarà probabile ottenere profitti o perdite simili a quelli mostrati.

Inoltre, il trading ipotetico non comporta rischio finanziario e nessun record di trading ipotetico può tener conto completamente dell'impatto del rischio finanziario nel trading effettivo. Ad esempio, la capacità di sopportare perdite o di attenersi a un particolare programma di trading nonostante le perdite commerciali sono punti materiali che possono influire negativamente sui risultati del trading effettivo. Ci sono numerosi altri fattori legati ai mercati in generale o all'attuazione di qualsiasi specifico programma di trading, che non possono essere pienamente contabilizzati nella preparazione dei risultati delle prestazioni ipotetiche e tutti i quali possono influire negativamente sui risultati del trading effettivo.

Ipotesi e metodi materiali utilizzati nel calcolo dei risultati

Le seguenti sono ipotesi materiali utilizzate nel calcolo di eventuali risultati mensili ipotetici che appaiono sul nostro sito web.

  • I profitti vengono reinvestiti. Presumiamo che i profitti (quando ci sono) vengano reinvestiti nella strategia di trading.
  • Dimensione dell'investimento iniziale. Per qualsiasi strategia di trading sul nostro sito, i risultati ipotetici si basano sull'ipotesi che tu abbia investito l'importo iniziale mostrato sul grafico delle prestazioni della strategia. In alcuni casi, gli importi nominali in dollari sul grafico del patrimonio sono stati ridimensionati verso il basso per rendere le dimensioni di trading attuali più gestibili. In questi casi, potrebbe non essere stato possibile scambiare la strategia storicamente ai livelli di patrimonio mostrati sul grafico e un capitale minimo più elevato era richiesto in passato.
  • Tutte le spese sono incluse. Nel calcolo dei rendimenti cumulativi, cerchiamo di stimare e includere tutte le spese che un tipico trader sostiene quando fa AutoTrading utilizzando la tecnologia AutoTrade. Ciò include il costo dell'abbonamento alla strategia, più eventuali commissioni per operazione di AutoTrade, più le commissioni di intermediazione stimate, se presenti.
  • Metodo di calcolo del "Max Drawdown". Calcoliamo la statistica Max Drawdown come segue. Il nostro software informatico esamina il grafico del patrimonio del sistema in questione e trova la percentuale più grande in cui il grafico del patrimonio diminuisce mai da un "picco" locale a un punto successivo nel tempo (quindi questo è formalmente chiamato "Massimo calo dal picco alla valle"). Sebbene queste informazioni siano utili nella valutazione dei sistemi di trading, dovresti tenere presente che le prestazioni passate non garantiscono risultati futuri. Pertanto, i cali futuri potrebbero essere maggiori rispetto ai massimi cali storici che vedi qui.

Il trading è rischioso

C'è un rischio sostanziale di perdita nel trading di futures e forex. Il trading online di azioni e opzioni è estremamente rischioso. Presumi che perderai denaro. Non fare trading con denaro che non puoi permetterti di perdere.

Va bene, capito.

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