Collective2 Collective2
Featured Strategy Gold and Silver +134.1% Cumul. Return since Jan 14, 2025 Hypothetical

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Lista osservati Lista osservati

This is an archived track record. This track record was archived on 9/30/24 16:58 ET. (See latest track record)
These are hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Learn more


Broadcast Watchlist Watchlist More...

Safe Leverage Bets
(148383351)

Creato da: Predictable Predictable
Started: 06/2024
Futures
Last trade: 358 days ago

Subscriptions not available

No subscriptions are currently available for this strategy because the strategy manager has capped the maximum number of subscribers.

Subscription terms. Subscriptions to this system cost $99.00 per month.

C2Star

C2Star è un programma di certificazione per le strategie di trading. Per diventare "Certificato C2Star", una strategia deve applicare controlli di rischio rigorosi e deve mostrare caratteristiche di performance eccellenti, tra cui riduzioni limitate.

Puoi leggere di più sui requisiti di certificazione C2Star qui.

Nota che: tutte le strategie di trading comportano rischi e la certificazione C2Star non implica che una strategia sia a basso rischio.


17.6%
Cumul. Return

Calcolo del rendimento

Panoramica

Per conformarsi alle normative NFA, mostriamo il tasso di rendimento cumulativo per le strategie con un track record inferiore a un anno. Per le strategie con track record più lunghi, mostriamo il tasso di rendimento annuale (composto).

Come si calcola il tasso di rendimento cumulativo

= (Patrimonio_finale - Patrimonio_iniziale) / Patrimonio_iniziale

Ricorda che, in base ai requisiti NFA, i costi di abbonamento alle strategie e le commissioni stimate sono inclusi nei calcoli del patrimonio valutato a mercato.

Tutti i risultati sono ipotetici.

(9.8%)
Max Drawdown
122
Num Trades
45.9%
Win Trades
1.1 : 1
Profit Factor
6.2%
Win Months
Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes system fee and Typical Broker commissions and fees)
 JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2024                                   (0.7%)(5.5%)+22.3%(8.3%)  -    -    -  +5.2%
2025  -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -                    0.0


Dettagli Account Modello

Una strategia di trading su Collective2. Seguila nel tuo account di brokeraggio o utilizza un account di trading simulato gratuito.

Gli utenti avanzati potrebbero voler utilizzare queste informazioni per regolare il loro AutoTrade scaling o semplicemente per comprendere le grandezze del grafico vicino.

Trading Record

This strategy has placed 28 trades in real-life brokerage accounts. The most recent trade in a real-money brokerage account occurred more than 431 days ago.

Show AutoTrade data Hide AutoTrade data
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Long
Short
Both
Win
Loss
Both
Opened Date/TimeSymbolDescriptionSideQuantAvg PriceClosed Date/TimeAvg PriceDrawdownP/L
9/20/24 10:02 @ESZ4 E-MINI S&P 500 LONG 1 5752.00 9/20 10:13 5747.00 1%
Trade id #149466628
Max drawdown($325)
Time9/20/24 10:13
Quant open1
Worst price5745.50
Drawdown as % of equity-1.00%
 ($258)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00
9/20/24 9:48 @ESZ4 E-MINI S&P 500 LONG 1 5761.00 9/20 9:57 5757.00 0.61%
Trade id #149466362
Max drawdown($200)
Time9/20/24 9:57
Quant open1
Worst price5757.00
Drawdown as % of equity-0.61%
 ($208)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00
9/19/24 9:39 @ESZ4 E-MINI S&P 500 LONG 1 5767.00 9/19 9:43 5762.00 1.03%
Trade id #149453456
Max drawdown($337)
Time9/19/24 9:43
Quant open1
Worst price5760.25
Drawdown as % of equity-1.03%
 ($258)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00
9/18/24 16:49 @MESZ4 MICRO E-MINI S&P 500 LONG 5 5691.25 9/18 16:52 5688.75 0.25%
Trade id #149446675
Max drawdown($81)
Time9/18/24 16:52
Quant open5
Worst price5688.00
Drawdown as % of equity-0.25%
 ($69)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $6.00
9/18/24 15:46 @MESZ4 MICRO E-MINI S&P 500 LONG 5 5683.25 9/18 16:47 5687.50 0.51%
Trade id #149445099
Max drawdown($168)
Time9/18/24 15:50
Quant open5
Worst price5676.50
Drawdown as % of equity-0.51%
 $100
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $6.00
9/17/24 9:29 @ESZ4 E-MINI S&P 500 LONG 1 5722.00 9/17 9:35 5717.50 0.83%
Trade id #149417612
Max drawdown($275)
Time9/17/24 9:35
Quant open1
Worst price5716.50
Drawdown as % of equity-0.83%
 ($233)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00
9/12/24 10:08 @ESU4 E-MINI S&P 500 LONG 1 5548.50 9/12 10:46 5567.25 n/a $930
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00
9/11/24 9:41 @ESU4 E-MINI S&P 500 LONG 1 5476.75 9/11 9:47 5464.00 2.03%
Trade id #149355617
Max drawdown($675)
Time9/11/24 9:47
Quant open1
Worst price5463.25
Drawdown as % of equity-2.03%
 ($646)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00
9/11/24 9:30 @ESU4 E-MINI S&P 500 LONG 1 5494.00 9/11 9:34 5484.00 2.18%
Trade id #149355004
Max drawdown($725)
Time9/11/24 9:34
Quant open1
Worst price5479.50
Drawdown as % of equity-2.18%
 ($508)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00
9/10/24 12:29 @ESU4 E-MINI S&P 500 LONG 1 5457.00 9/10 13:11 5477.00 n/a $992
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00
9/6/24 11:08 @ESU4 E-MINI S&P 500 LONG 1 5440.00 9/6 11:17 5428.00 2.08%
Trade id #149302602
Max drawdown($687)
Time9/6/24 11:17
Quant open1
Worst price5426.25
Drawdown as % of equity-2.08%
 ($608)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00
9/6/24 10:22 @ESU4 E-MINI S&P 500 LONG 1 5483.00 9/6 10:24 5478.00 0.75%
Trade id #149298820
Max drawdown($250)
Time9/6/24 10:24
Quant open1
Worst price5478.00
Drawdown as % of equity-0.75%
 ($258)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00
9/6/24 9:44 @ESU4 E-MINI S&P 500 SHORT 1 5517.50 9/6 9:47 5518.75 0.82%
Trade id #149292673
Max drawdown($275)
Time9/6/24 9:47
Quant open1
Worst price5523.00
Drawdown as % of equity-0.82%
 ($71)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00
9/6/24 8:48 @ESU4 E-MINI S&P 500 SHORT 1 5512.00 9/6 8:55 5512.50 0.86%
Trade id #149288917
Max drawdown($287)
Time9/6/24 8:52
Quant open1
Worst price5517.75
Drawdown as % of equity-0.86%
 ($33)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00
9/5/24 10:19 @ESU4 E-MINI S&P 500 SHORT 1 5541.00 9/5 10:25 5554.75 2.37%
Trade id #149259900
Max drawdown($800)
Time9/5/24 10:25
Quant open1
Worst price5557.00
Drawdown as % of equity-2.37%
 ($696)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00
9/5/24 10:10 @ESU4 E-MINI S&P 500 SHORT 1 5548.00 9/5 10:12 5539.50 n/a $417
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00
9/5/24 9:45 @ESU4 E-MINI S&P 500 SHORT 1 5536.00 9/5 9:48 5533.50 n/a $117
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00
9/4/24 13:37 @ESU4 E-MINI S&P 500 SHORT 1 5533.50 9/4 13:47 5536.50 0.59%
Trade id #149252799
Max drawdown($200)
Time9/4/24 13:47
Quant open1
Worst price5537.50
Drawdown as % of equity-0.59%
 ($158)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00
9/4/24 13:11 @ESU4 E-MINI S&P 500 SHORT 1 5542.50 9/4 13:15 5537.50 n/a $242
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00
9/4/24 13:04 @ESU4 E-MINI S&P 500 SHORT 1 5538.00 9/4 13:07 5537.75 0.34%
Trade id #149252334
Max drawdown($112)
Time9/4/24 13:07
Quant open1
Worst price5540.25
Drawdown as % of equity-0.34%
 $5
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00
9/4/24 11:34 @ESU4 E-MINI S&P 500 SHORT 1 5542.00 9/4 11:39 5538.75 0.19%
Trade id #149250385
Max drawdown($62)
Time9/4/24 11:37
Quant open1
Worst price5543.25
Drawdown as % of equity-0.19%
 $155
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00
9/4/24 10:41 @ESU4 E-MINI S&P 500 SHORT 1 5554.50 9/4 10:56 5559.50 0.74%
Trade id #149246415
Max drawdown($250)
Time9/4/24 10:56
Quant open1
Worst price5559.50
Drawdown as % of equity-0.74%
 ($258)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00
9/4/24 10:31 @ESU4 E-MINI S&P 500 SHORT 1 5547.75 9/4 10:39 5554.00 1.1%
Trade id #149246141
Max drawdown($375)
Time9/4/24 10:39
Quant open1
Worst price5555.25
Drawdown as % of equity-1.10%
 ($321)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00
9/3/24 18:22 @MESU4 MICRO E-MINI S&P 500 SHORT 1 5539.50 9/3 18:37 5539.50 0.01%
Trade id #149240620
Max drawdown($5)
Time9/3/24 18:25
Quant open1
Worst price5540.50
Drawdown as % of equity-0.01%
 ($1)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $1.20
9/3/24 15:51 @ESU4 E-MINI S&P 500 SHORT 1 5530.75 9/3 15:59 5541.00 1.99%
Trade id #149239169
Max drawdown($687)
Time9/3/24 15:59
Quant open1
Worst price5544.50
Drawdown as % of equity-1.99%
 ($521)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00
9/3/24 8:32 @ESU4 E-MINI S&P 500 LONG 1 5631.75 9/3 9:35 5619.00 1.81%
Trade id #149204228
Max drawdown($637)
Time9/3/24 9:35
Quant open1
Worst price5619.00
Drawdown as % of equity-1.81%
 ($646)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00
8/30/24 15:11 @ESU4 E-MINI S&P 500 LONG 1 5631.25 8/30 15:51 5657.75 0.63%
Trade id #149146882
Max drawdown($212)
Time8/30/24 15:14
Quant open1
Worst price5627.00
Drawdown as % of equity-0.63%
 $1,317
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00
8/30/24 10:48 @ESU4 E-MINI S&P 500 LONG 1 5636.50 8/30 10:57 5626.75 1.86%
Trade id #149134521
Max drawdown($637)
Time8/30/24 10:57
Quant open1
Worst price5623.75
Drawdown as % of equity-1.86%
 ($496)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00
8/30/24 9:18 @ESU4 E-MINI S&P 500 LONG 1 5631.75 8/30 10:18 5640.75 0.66%
Trade id #149130205
Max drawdown($225)
Time8/30/24 9:50
Quant open1
Worst price5627.25
Drawdown as % of equity-0.66%
 $442
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00
8/30/24 7:04 @ESU4 E-MINI S&P 500 LONG 1 5635.00 8/30 7:10 5634.25 0.18%
Trade id #149129701
Max drawdown($62)
Time8/30/24 7:07
Quant open1
Worst price5633.75
Drawdown as % of equity-0.18%
 ($46)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00

Statistics

  • Strategy began
    6/11/2024
  • Suggested Minimum Cap
    $30,590
  • Strategy Age (days)
    450.23
  • Age
    15 months ago
  • What it trades
    Futures
  • # Trades
    122
  • # Profitable
    56
  • % Profitable
    45.90%
  • Avg trade duration
    1.3 hours
  • Max peak-to-valley drawdown
    9.83%
  • drawdown period
    Aug 05, 2024 - Aug 08, 2024
  • Cumul. Return
    5.2%
  • Avg win
    $482.57
  • Avg loss
    $367.26
  • Model Account Values (Raw)
  • Cash
    $33,380
  • Margin Used
    $0
  • Buying Power
    $33,380
  • Ratios
  • W:L ratio
    1.11:1
  • Sharpe Ratio
    0.19
  • Sortino Ratio
    0.38
  • Calmar Ratio
    3.356
  • CORRELATION STATISTICS
  • Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)
    -1.99%
  • Correlation to SP500
    -0.03290
  • Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life
    22.49%
  • Return Statistics
  • Ann Return (w trading costs)
    17.6%
  • Slump
  • Current Slump as Pcnt Equity
    9.50%
  • Instruments
  • Percent Trades Futures
    0.87%
  • Slump
  • Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life
    0.81%
  • Return Statistics
  • Return Pcnt Since TOS Status
    n/a
  • Instruments
  • Short Options - Percent Covered
    n/a
  • Return Statistics
  • Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)
    0.052%
  • Instruments
  • Percent Trades Options
    0.13%
  • Percent Trades Stocks
    n/a
  • Percent Trades Forex
    n/a
  • Return Statistics
  • Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)
    7.2%
  • Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)
  • Chance of 10% account loss
    34.50%
  • Chance of 20% account loss
    3.50%
  • Chance of 30% account loss
    n/a
  • Chance of 40% account loss
    n/a
  • Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Automation
  • Percentage Signals Automated
    n/a
  • Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)
  • Chance of 50% account loss
    n/a
  • Popularity
  • Popularity (Today)
    0
  • Popularity (Last 6 weeks)
    670
  • Trading Style
  • Any stock shorts? 0/1
    1
  • Popularity
  • Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)
    0
  • Trades-Own-System Certification
  • Trades Own System?
    -
  • TOS percent
    n/a
  • Win / Loss
  • Avg Loss
    $367
  • Avg Win
    $483
  • Sum Trade PL (losers)
    $24,239.000
  • Age
  • Num Months filled monthly returns table
    16
  • Win / Loss
  • Sum Trade PL (winners)
    $27,024.000
  • # Winners
    56
  • Num Months Winners
    1
  • Dividends
  • Dividends Received in Model Acct
    0
  • Win / Loss
  • # Losers
    66
  • % Winners
    45.9%
  • Frequency
  • Avg Position Time (mins)
    77.22
  • Avg Position Time (hrs)
    1.29
  • Avg Trade Length
    0.1 days
  • Last Trade Ago
    349
  • Leverage
  • Daily leverage (average)
    10.20
  • Daily leverage (max)
    18.78
  • Regression
  • Alpha
    0.01
  • Beta
    -0.04
  • Treynor Index
    -0.27
  • Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)
  • MAE:Equity, average, all trades
    0.01
  • MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
    -
  • MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
    -
  • MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
    -
  • MAE:PL (avg, all trades)
    -0.70
  • MAE:Equity, average, winning trades
    0.01
  • MAE:Equity, average, losing trades
    0.02
  • Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades
    -3.659
  • MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
    -
  • MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
    -
  • MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
    0.00
  • Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades
    0.388
  • Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades
    -1.306
  • Hold-and-Hope Ratio
    -0.273
  • Analysis based on MONTHLY values, full history
  • RATIO STATISTICS
  • Ratio statistics of excess return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.41082
  • SD
    0.25145
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    1.63380
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    0.92177
  • df
    2.00000
  • t
    0.81690
  • p
    0.24991
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -2.71516
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    5.66818
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -3.10089
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    4.94443
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    18.38960
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    21.13220
  • Upside part of mean
    0.47209
  • Downside part of mean
    -0.06127
  • Upside SD
    0.23604
  • Downside SD
    0.02234
  • N nonnegative terms
    1.00000
  • N negative terms
    2.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    3.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.14055
  • Mean of criterion
    0.41082
  • SD of predictor
    0.14118
  • SD of criterion
    0.25145
  • Covariance
    -0.03471
  • r
    -0.97776
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    -1.74147
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.65558
  • Mean Square Error
    0.00556
  • DF error
    1.00000
  • t(b)
    -4.66252
  • p(b)
    0.93275
  • t(a)
    4.14623
  • p(a)
    0.07533
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    -6.48730
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    3.00435
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -1.35346
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    2.66462
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    -0.23590
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.65558
  • Ratio statistics of excess log return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.38389
  • SD
    0.23807
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    1.61249
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    0.90975
  • df
    2.00000
  • t
    0.80624
  • p
    0.25237
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -2.72825
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    5.64137
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -3.11028
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    4.92978
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    17.15020
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    19.89230
  • Upside part of mean
    0.44526
  • Downside part of mean
    -0.06138
  • Upside SD
    0.22263
  • Downside SD
    0.02238
  • N nonnegative terms
    1.00000
  • N negative terms
    2.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    3.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.13286
  • Mean of criterion
    0.38389
  • SD of predictor
    0.14068
  • SD of criterion
    0.23807
  • Covariance
    -0.03278
  • r
    -0.97868
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    -1.65623
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.60393
  • Mean Square Error
    0.00478
  • DF error
    1.00000
  • t(b)
    -4.76467
  • p(b)
    0.93415
  • t(a)
    4.14166
  • p(a)
    0.07541
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    -6.07301
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    2.76054
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -1.24886
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    2.45672
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    -0.23178
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.60393
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (parametric)
  • assuming log normal returns and losses (using central moments from Sharpe statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.07785
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.10367
  • assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.01178
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.01390
  • ORDER STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of return rates
  • Number of observations
    3.00000
  • Minimum
    0.99274
  • Quartile 1
    0.99467
  • Median
    0.99660
  • Quartile 3
    1.05848
  • Maximum
    1.12035
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.99274
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.99660
  • Mean of quarter 3
    0.00000
  • Mean of quarter 4
    1.12035
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.06381
  • Number outliers low
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Number of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (based on Ex
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.00000
  • DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of draw downs
  • Number of observations
    2.00000
  • Minimum
    0.00340
  • Quartile 1
    0.00437
  • Median
    0.00533
  • Quartile 3
    0.00630
  • Maximum
    0.00726
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.00340
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.00000
  • Mean of quarter 3
    0.00000
  • Mean of quarter 4
    0.00726
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.00193
  • Number outliers low
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Number of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value T
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.00000
  • COMBINED STATISTICS
  • Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)
    0.43374
  • Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)
    0.50952
  • Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)
    70.17230
  • Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs
    70.17230
  • Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal
    4.91480
  • 0.00000
  • 0.00000
  • Analysis based on DAILY values, full history
  • RATIO STATISTICS
  • Ratio statistics of excess return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.31848
  • SD
    0.33304
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    0.95628
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    0.94693
  • df
    77.00000
  • t
    0.52177
  • p
    0.30166
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -2.64206
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    4.54854
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -2.64830
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    4.54217
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    1.89870
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    8.52446
  • Upside part of mean
    1.42986
  • Downside part of mean
    -1.11138
  • Upside SD
    0.28591
  • Downside SD
    0.16774
  • N nonnegative terms
    20.00000
  • N negative terms
    58.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    78.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.21682
  • Mean of criterion
    0.31848
  • SD of predictor
    0.14904
  • SD of criterion
    0.33304
  • Covariance
    -0.00359
  • r
    -0.07235
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    -0.16167
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.26500
  • Mean Square Error
    0.11179
  • DF error
    76.00000
  • t(b)
    -0.63236
  • p(b)
    0.73548
  • t(a)
    0.57459
  • p(a)
    0.28363
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    -0.67085
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.34752
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -0.87190
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    1.57896
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    -1.96998
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.35353
  • Ratio statistics of excess log return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.26528
  • SD
    0.32522
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    0.81568
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    0.80771
  • df
    77.00000
  • t
    0.44506
  • p
    0.32876
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -2.78128
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    4.40748
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -2.78667
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    4.40210
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    1.55554
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    8.15610
  • Upside part of mean
    1.39092
  • Downside part of mean
    -1.12564
  • Upside SD
    0.27495
  • Downside SD
    0.17054
  • N nonnegative terms
    20.00000
  • N negative terms
    58.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    78.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.20571
  • Mean of criterion
    0.26528
  • SD of predictor
    0.14941
  • SD of criterion
    0.32522
  • Covariance
    -0.00362
  • r
    -0.07448
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    -0.16211
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.29862
  • Mean Square Error
    0.10656
  • DF error
    76.00000
  • t(b)
    -0.65109
  • p(b)
    0.74152
  • t(a)
    0.49731
  • p(a)
    0.31020
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    -0.65802
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.33379
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -0.89733
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    1.49458
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    -1.63636
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.29862
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (parametric)
  • assuming log normal returns and losses (using central moments from Sharpe statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.03153
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.03960
  • assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.01237
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.02484
  • ORDER STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of return rates
  • Number of observations
    78.00000
  • Minimum
    0.95284
  • Quartile 1
    0.99796
  • Median
    1.00000
  • Quartile 3
    1.00023
  • Maximum
    1.11306
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.98403
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.99972
  • Mean of quarter 3
    1.00000
  • Mean of quarter 4
    1.02139
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.00227
  • Number outliers low
    15.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.19231
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.97970
  • Number of outliers high
    13.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.16667
  • Mean of outliers high
    1.03205
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (based on Ex
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    0.26340
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.00935
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.01692
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    0.18080
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.01801
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.03181
  • DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of draw downs
  • Number of observations
    7.00000
  • Minimum
    0.00175
  • Quartile 1
    0.01673
  • Median
    0.05157
  • Quartile 3
    0.06591
  • Maximum
    0.07656
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.00252
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.04087
  • Mean of quarter 3
    0.05970
  • Mean of quarter 4
    0.07434
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.04917
  • Number outliers low
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Number of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value T
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.00000
  • COMBINED STATISTICS
  • Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)
    0.30636
  • Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)
    0.34069
  • Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)
    4.44978
  • Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs
    4.58314
  • Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal
    8.60355
  • Analysis based on DAILY values, last 6 months only
  • RATIO STATISTICS
  • Ratio statistics of excess log return rates
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)
    0.02800
  • DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
  • Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value T
  • assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics)
  • Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative
    n/a
  • Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?
    -323928000
  • Max Equity Drawdown (num days)
    3

Strategy Description

Trade this strategy at Tradier

Summary Statistics


Strategy began
2024-06-11
Suggested Minimum Capital
$35,000
# Trades
122
# Profitable
56
% Profitable
45.9%
Correlation S&P500
-0.033
Sharpe Ratio
0.19
Sortino Ratio
0.38
Beta
-0.04
Alpha
0.01
Leverage
10.20 Average
18.78 Maximum

Sommario
Leva finanziaria più alta = maggiore rischio.

Ulteriori informazioni sulla leva finanziaria

Collective2 calcola la leva finanziaria massima utilizzata da una strategia in ogni giorno. Mostriamo quindi la media di queste misurazioni (cioè la media della leva finanziaria massima giornaliera) e la più grande di queste misurazioni (leva finanziaria massima giornaliera).

La leva finanziaria è il rapporto tra il valore nozionale totale controllato da una strategia e il patrimonio del Model Account. Generalmente, una leva finanziaria più alta implica un rischio maggiore.

Esempio di calcolo:
La Strategia acquista 100 azioni a $12 per azione.
Il patrimonio del Model Account durante quel giorno è di $5.000.
La leva finanziaria è: $1200 / $5.000 = 0,24

Questa è una misurazione utile, ma deve essere considerata nel contesto. Questa misurazione non tiene conto di fattori importanti, come quando si detengono più posizioni che sono inversamente correlate. Né la misurazione tiene conto della volatilità degli strumenti detenuti.

Inoltre, alcune classi di attività sono per loro natura più leveraged di altre. Ad esempio, i contratti futures sono altamente leveraged. Le posizioni Forex sono spesso ancora più leveraged dei futures.

Latest Activity

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Trade journal

  • 9/15/2018, 10:03:33 PM BTS 200 EURUSD

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Most values on this page (including the Strategy Equity Chart, above) have been adjusted by estimated trading commissions and subscription costs.

Some advanced users find it useful to see "raw" Model Account values. These numbers do not include any commissions, fees, subscription costs, or dividend actions.

Strategy developers can "archive" strategies at any time. This means the strategy Model Account is reset to its initial level and the trade list cleared. However, all archived track records are permanently preserved for evaluation by potential subscribers.



Riguardo ai risultati che vedi su questo sito web

I risultati passati non sono necessariamente indicativi dei risultati futuri.

Questi risultati si basano su performance simulate o ipotetiche che presentano alcune limitazioni intrinseche. A differenza dei risultati mostrati in un registro delle prestazioni effettive, questi risultati non rappresentano trading effettivo. Inoltre, poiché queste operazioni non sono state effettivamente eseguite, questi risultati potrebbero aver sotto o sovrastimato l'impatto, se presente, di alcuni fattori di mercato, come la mancanza di liquidità. I programmi di trading simulati o ipotetici in generale sono soggetti anche al fatto che sono progettati con il beneficio del senno di poi. Non viene fatta alcuna rappresentazione che qualsiasi conto raggiungerà o sarà probabile ottenere profitti o perdite simili a quelli mostrati.

Inoltre, il trading ipotetico non comporta rischio finanziario e nessun record di trading ipotetico può tener conto completamente dell'impatto del rischio finanziario nel trading effettivo. Ad esempio, la capacità di sopportare perdite o di attenersi a un particolare programma di trading nonostante le perdite commerciali sono punti materiali che possono influire negativamente sui risultati del trading effettivo. Ci sono numerosi altri fattori legati ai mercati in generale o all'attuazione di qualsiasi specifico programma di trading, che non possono essere pienamente contabilizzati nella preparazione dei risultati delle prestazioni ipotetiche e tutti i quali possono influire negativamente sui risultati del trading effettivo.

Ipotesi e metodi materiali utilizzati nel calcolo dei risultati

Le seguenti sono ipotesi materiali utilizzate nel calcolo di eventuali risultati mensili ipotetici che appaiono sul nostro sito web.

  • I profitti vengono reinvestiti. Presumiamo che i profitti (quando ci sono) vengano reinvestiti nella strategia di trading.
  • Dimensione dell'investimento iniziale. Per qualsiasi strategia di trading sul nostro sito, i risultati ipotetici si basano sull'ipotesi che tu abbia investito l'importo iniziale mostrato sul grafico delle prestazioni della strategia. In alcuni casi, gli importi nominali in dollari sul grafico del patrimonio sono stati ridimensionati verso il basso per rendere le dimensioni di trading attuali più gestibili. In questi casi, potrebbe non essere stato possibile scambiare la strategia storicamente ai livelli di patrimonio mostrati sul grafico e un capitale minimo più elevato era richiesto in passato.
  • Tutte le spese sono incluse. Nel calcolo dei rendimenti cumulativi, cerchiamo di stimare e includere tutte le spese che un tipico trader sostiene quando fa AutoTrading utilizzando la tecnologia AutoTrade. Ciò include il costo dell'abbonamento alla strategia, più eventuali commissioni per operazione di AutoTrade, più le commissioni di intermediazione stimate, se presenti.
  • Metodo di calcolo del "Max Drawdown". Calcoliamo la statistica Max Drawdown come segue. Il nostro software informatico esamina il grafico del patrimonio del sistema in questione e trova la percentuale più grande in cui il grafico del patrimonio diminuisce mai da un "picco" locale a un punto successivo nel tempo (quindi questo è formalmente chiamato "Massimo calo dal picco alla valle"). Sebbene queste informazioni siano utili nella valutazione dei sistemi di trading, dovresti tenere presente che le prestazioni passate non garantiscono risultati futuri. Pertanto, i cali futuri potrebbero essere maggiori rispetto ai massimi cali storici che vedi qui.

Il trading è rischioso

C'è un rischio sostanziale di perdita nel trading di futures e forex. Il trading online di azioni e opzioni è estremamente rischioso. Presumi che perderai denaro. Non fare trading con denaro che non puoi permetterti di perdere.

Va bene, capito.

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Suggested Minimum Capital

This is our estimate of the minimum amount of capital to follow a strategy, assuming you use the smallest reasonable AutoTrade Scaling % for the strategy.